The "Run to 50" is complete. Blogging continues from this point on at Run to 51

Blog Archive

Monday, January 25, 2010

Galloway Predictor Paces

When I see these predictor charts or formulas, I find that my short distance paces don't match up with the correlating longer distances paces predicted for me. My pacing is slower at distance than the charts predict.

Besides running longer, I also want to run faster at shorter 5K and 10K distances.

So here are Jeff Galloway's numbers for me, both where I stand now and where I'd like to be someday, based on some stakes in the ground (5K time and a Boston Marathon qualifying time). For reference:

Type
Current
Target
Mile
6:50
6:15
5K
7:23 (22:53)

6:43 (21:05)

10K
7:51 (48:43)

7:11 (44:34)

HM
8:12 (1:47:25)

7:30 (1:38:15)

M
8:53 (3:52:45)

8:08 (3:32:53)

LSD
10:53

10:08


I currently can run a 5K in about 22:20, though I need to really challenge that and see if I can't do better. I can probably do better than a 48:00 10K, but I haven't attempted it lately. I know now that with good conditions I can run a half marathon pretty easily in under 1:50:00.

I don't think it's unrealistic to target a 5K in 21:00 and a 10K in 45:00 before I turn 50. The corresponding half and full marathon times are a bit intimidating, but perhaps if I do my distance training at a 10:00 pace, that'll help move me toward that goal.

We shall see.